| 1. Preliminary Reliability Concepts | 
1 | 
|   1.1. The Need for Reliability | 
1 | 
|     1.1.1. Customer Reliability Expectations | 
3 | 
|     1.1.2. Reliability as a Market Discriminator | 
4 | 
|     1.1.3. Related Reliability Issues | 
6 | 
|     1.1.4. Military and Commercial Reliability Needs | 
11 | 
|   1.2. Reliability and Maintainability Basics | 
12 | 
|     1.2.1. Reliability-Related Terminology | 
12 | 
|     1.2.2. The Bathtub Curve | 
14 | 
|     1.2.3. Reliability Metrics | 
15 | 
|     1.2.4. Availability | 
18 | 
| 2. The Nature of Mechanical Reliability | 
21 | 
|   2.1. Mechanical, Electronic, Software and Human Reliability | 
21 | 
|     2.1.1. Software Reliability vs Hardware Reliability | 
21 | 
|     2.1.2. Human Reliability vs Hardware Reliability | 
24 | 
|     2.1.3. Mechanical Reliability vs Electronic Reliability | 
25 | 
|     2.1.4. System and Part Reliability | 
26 | 
|   2.2. The Nature of Mechanical Failures | 
28 | 
|     2.2.1. Yielding | 
28 | 
|     2.2.2. Elastic Deformation | 
29 | 
|     2.2.3. Brinelling | 
30 | 
|     2.2.4. False Brinelling | 
31 | 
|     2.2.5. Fretting | 
31 | 
|     2.2.6. Brittle Fracture | 
32 | 
|     2.2.7. Ductile Fracture | 
33 | 
|     2.2.8. Buckling | 
34 | 
|     2.2.9. Creep | 
35 | 
|     2.2.10. Galling | 
36 | 
|     2.2.11. Spalling | 
37 | 
|     2.2.12. Wear | 
38 | 
|     2.2.13. Fatigue | 
39 | 
|     2.2.14. Uniform Corrosion | 
42 | 
|     2.2.15. Galvanic Corrosion | 
44 | 
|     2.2.16. Crevice Corrosion | 
46 | 
|     2.2.17. Pitting Corrosion | 
47 | 
|     2.2.18. Stress Corrosion Cracking | 
48 | 
|     2.2.19. Corrosion Fatigue | 
50 | 
|     2.2.20. Intergranular Corrosion | 
51 | 
|     2.2.21. Selective Leaching | 
53 | 
|     2.2.22. Erosion Corrosion | 
53 | 
|     2.2.23. Exfoliation | 
55 | 
|     2.2.24. Microbiologically Influenced Corrosion | 
56 | 
|     2.2.25. Filiform Corrosion | 
57 | 
|     2.2.26. Hydrogen Damage | 
58 | 
|     2.2.27. Hot Corrosion | 
59 | 
|     2.2.28. Radiation Damage | 
60 | 
|     2.2.29. Stress Relaxation | 
60 | 
|     2.2.30. Chemical Attack | 
61 | 
| 3. The Mechanical Reliability Process | 
63 | 
|   3.1. Preliminary Analyses | 
66 | 
|     3.1.1. Define System Functionality | 
66 | 
|     3.1.2. Reliability Requirements | 
67 | 
|     3.1.3. Design Data | 
68 | 
|     3.1.4. Environmental Characterization | 
69 | 
|   3.2. Devolve Design/Reliability Block Diagrams into Individual Parts | 
69 | 
|     3.2.1. Assemble Parts List | 
70 | 
|     3.2.2. Reliability Block Diagram | 
70 | 
| 4. Conduct System/Subsystem Analyses | 
81 | 
|   4.1. Collect Relevant Information | 
81 | 
|     4.1.1. Part Properties | 
81 | 
|     4.1.2. Reliability/Life Data | 
81 | 
|   4.2. Select the Appropriate Analysis Method | 
82 | 
|   4.3. Failure Modes and Effect Analysis | 
83 | 
|     4.3.1. Qualitative Failure Mode Severity Measures | 
83 | 
|     4.3.2. FMEA Report | 
84 | 
|   4.4. Failure Modes, Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) | 
86 | 
|     4.4.1. Criticality Analysis | 
86 | 
|     4.4.2. FMECA Reports | 
90 | 
|   4.5. Performing an FMEA/FMECA | 
92 | 
|   4.6. Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) | 
93 | 
|     4.6.1. Intended Use of FTA Results | 
93 | 
|     4.6.2. FTA vs FMEA/FMECA | 
94 | 
|     4.6.3. FTA Construction | 
95 | 
|     4.6.4. Analyzing the Fault Tree | 
99 | 
|     4.6.5. FTA Examples | 
104 | 
|   4.7. “Back of the Envelope” Calculation | 
107 | 
|   4.8. Analyze System Reliability Analysis Results | 
108 | 
|   4.9. Construct List of Items Requiring Analysis | 
108 | 
|   4.10. Allocate Part Reliability Goals | 
109 | 
|     4.10.1. Reliability Allocation | 
109 | 
| 5. Part-Level Reliability Analyses | 
119 | 
|   5.1. Statistical Analysis Approach | 
120 | 
|     5.1.1. Evaluating and Ranking Data | 
122 | 
|     5.1.2. Selecting a Statistical Distribution | 
127 | 
|     5.1.3. The Weibull Analysis Process | 
128 | 
|     5.1.4. Distribution Analysis | 
137 | 
|     5.1.5. Select Alternate Plotting Paper for Poor Fit | 
140 | 
|     5.1.6. Performing Reliability Predictions | 
144 | 
|   5.2. Physics-of-Failure Modeling Approach | 
152 | 
|     5.2.1. PoF Reliability Prediction Process | 
153 | 
|     5.2.2. Applicable Models/Primary Failure Mechanisms | 
158 | 
|     5.2.3. Wear | 
159 | 
|     5.2.4. Creep | 
184 | 
|     5.2.5. Corrosion | 
193 | 
|     5.2.6. Summary and Recommendations | 
205 | 
|   5.3. Empirical Approaches to Reliability Predictions | 
208 | 
|     5.3.1. Determine Suitability of Empirical Approach | 
209 | 
|     5.3.2. Select Appropriate Statistical Distribution | 
213 | 
|     5.3.3. Surrogate Data Sources | 
215 | 
|     5.3.4. Empirical Mechanical Reliability Models | 
235 | 
|     5.3.5. NSWC Empirical Models | 
235 | 
|   5.4. Other Reliability Analysis Techniques | 
317 | 
|     5.4.1. Stress-Strength Interference | 
318 | 
|     5.4.2. Weibayes Analysis | 
340 | 
| 6. Evaluating, Tracking, Fielding and Improving Mechanical Equipment | 
353 | 
|   6.1. System Predictions | 
353 | 
|     6.1.1. Reliability Metrics | 
354 | 
|     6.1.2. System Modeling Approaches to Reliability Predictions | 
355 | 
|     6.1.3. System Reliability Using Cut-Sets | 
359 | 
|     6.1.4. Parts Count Reliability Prediction | 
362 | 
|     6.1.5. Alternative Approaches to System Reliability Predictions | 
363 | 
|   6.2. Reliability Testing Approaches | 
363 | 
|     6.2.1. Failure Discovery Testing | 
364 | 
|     6.2.2. Life Testing | 
370 | 
  6.3. Tracking Reliability – Failure Reporting, Analysis and Corrective Action Systems 
(FRACAS) | 
375 | 
|   6.4. Producing and Fielding the System | 
378 | 
|     6.4.1. Controlling Production Reliability | 
379 | 
|     6.4.2. Production Controls | 
379 | 
|     6.4.3. Reliability Screening | 
379 | 
|     6.4.4. Stress Screening | 
381 | 
|     6.4.5. Collect Field Data | 
382 | 
|   6.5. Reliability Growth | 
383 | 
|     6.5.1. Growth Throughout the System’s Life-cycle | 
384 | 
|     6.5.2. Reliability Growth Process | 
387 | 
|     6.5.3. Reliability Growth Management | 
389 | 
| 7. Mechanical Reliability Process Example | 
393 | 
|   7.1. Identify Part Modeling Techniques | 
393 | 
|     7.1.1. Collect Initial Data for System/Subsystem Failure Mode Analysis | 
394 | 
|     7.1.2. Conduct System/Subsystem Failure Mode Analysis | 
397 | 
|     7.1.3. Analyze Design Details and System Reliability Analysis Results | 
407 | 
|     7.1.4. Construct List of Items Requiring Analysis | 
408 | 
|     7.1.5. Allocate Part Reliability Goals from System Requirements | 
409 | 
|     7.1.6. Select Prediction Approach for Part Analysis | 
409 | 
|   7.2. Predict Part Reliability | 
410 | 
|     7.2.1. Example of Employing the Statistical Approach | 
411 | 
|     7.2.2. Example of Employing the Physics-of-Failure Approach | 
415 | 
|     7.2.3. Example of Employing the Empirical Approach | 
421 | 
|     7.2.4. Example of Employing the Stress-Strength Interference Approach | 
423 | 
|   7.3. Perform System Reliability Prediction | 
427 | 
| APPENDIX A: Environmental Characterization | 
A-1 | 
|   A.1 Operational vs. Nonoperational Environments | 
A-1 | 
|     A.1.1 Exposure to the External Environment | 
A-4 | 
|     A.1.2 Micro-Environments | 
A-8 | 
|   A.2 Environmental Factors | 
A-9 | 
|     A.2.1 Temperature | 
A-9 | 
|     A.2.2 Humidity | 
A-11 | 
|     A.2.3 Radiation | 
A-12 | 
|     A.2.4 Dust (Airborne and Ground) | 
A-13 | 
|     A.2.5 Chemical Contaminants | 
A-14 | 
|     A.2.6 Combined Effects | 
A-15 | 
|   A.3 Environmental Loading Effects | 
A-15 | 
|   A.4 Additional Considerations | 
A-16 | 
|   A.5 Environmental Characterization Summary | 
A-17 | 
| APPENDIX B: Relevant Statistical Concepts | 
B-1 | 
|   B.1 Probability Distributions | 
B-4 | 
|     B.1.1 Binomial Distribution | 
B-8 | 
|     B.1.2 Poisson Distribution | 
B-9 | 
|     B.1.3 Normal Distribution | 
B-11 | 
|     B.1.4 Exponential Distribution | 
B-13 | 
|     B.1.5 Gamma Distribution | 
B-14 | 
|     B.1.6 Weibull Distribution | 
B-17 | 
|   B.2 Statistical Hypothesis Testing | 
B-21 | 
|     B.2.1 Hypothesis Testing for Reliability Acceptance | 
B-29 | 
|     B.2.2 Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit | 
B-33 | 
|     B.2.3 Kolmogorov-Smirnov Goodness-of-Fit Test | 
B-35 | 
|   B.3 Parameter Estimation | 
B-39 | 
|   B.4 Confidence Bounds | 
B-43 | 
| APPENDIX C: Reliability Data Sources | 
C-1 | 
|   C.1 Test/Field Data | 
C-1 | 
|     C.1.1 Failure Reports/Maintenance Logs | 
C-1 | 
|     C.1.2 Failure Reporting, Analysis and Corrective Action System (FRACAS) | 
C-2 | 
|   C.2 Surrogate Data | 
C-3 | 
|     C.2.1 Legacy Part/System Data | 
C-3 | 
|     C.2.2 Nonelectronic Parts Reliability Data (NPRD-2011) | 
C-3 | 
|     C.2.3 Failure Mode/Mechanism Distributions (FMD-1997) | 
C-4 | 
|     C.2.4 Offshore Reliability Data (OREDA) Handbook | 
C-5 | 
|     C.2.5 U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission – Common Cause Failure Database | 
C-6 | 
|     C.2.6 Other Reliability Data Sources | 
C-7 | 
|     C.2.7 Electronic Part Failure Prediction | 
C-7 | 
|   C.3 General Reliability Information | 
C-8 | 
| APPENDIX D: Weibull Library | 
D-1 |